Can Nintendo Switch Outsell PS4 In The Longrun?

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Nintendo Switch

 

A week ago Nintendo announced that their hybrid console Switch had sold more than 10 million units! Nobody had predicted results as astonishing as these and analysts had it placed lower than the Wii U in terms of sales, and still the holiday season is yet to come. Some of this success can be attributed to the immensely popular exclusives that it got this year, Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild and Super Mario Odyssey have been accredited as masterpieces by critics.

After the Switch’s success is it possible that it can challenge the PS4 , sure it’s unlikely but the stats suggest otherwise.

  • Nintendo Switch was launched on 3rd March and as of December data  indicates that it took the Switch 9 months and 7 days to sell 10 million units.
  • The PS4 was launched on 15th November 2013 and, took about 8 months and 29 days to sell 10 million units, yet there was one stark contrast. PS4 had a full holiday sales window while Nintendo hasn’t had that with the Switch yet.
  • Nintendo’s last console, the Wii U took 2 years and 7 months to sell 10 million units, and it ended its run at 13.5 million units. In other words it was a colossal failure and hence there was initial skepticism surrounding Nintendo Switch

At a rate like this, Sony’s PS4 will get definite competition in terms of overall console sales possibly at the end of this console generation. It raises the question whether the Nintendo Switch will outsell the PS4 in the long run?

It appears that there may be a slight possibility of that happening. While the PS4 has taken the lead yet again with record numbers during the latest NPD ratings for November 2017 the Nintendo Switch has been the best selling console in the US for the previous four months. (July,August,September and October). This coming from a console which’s predecessor the Wii U was a colossal failure and failed to capture the imagination of it’s target audience. Furthermore the Switch was also touted by many to suffer the same fate as the aforementioned Wii U and yet Nintendo stuck to what it does best and have now one of the hottest selling commodities in the market. Nintendo Switch was the best selling online  item in the Black Friday week.Hence it is safe to say that the Switch isn’t just a flash in the pan. In the coming fiscal year which starts in April 2018 Nintendo plans to produce 25 to 30 Million units , which will be a major jump considering the fact that PS4 sold 17.7 million units in it’s second fiscal year and the revolutionary PS2 sold 22.52 Million units.

While Nintendo may be having a brilliant launch year I still believe it will be very difficult for Switch to hit the proverbial jackpot with a 100 Million + units sold. While the Switch has defied expectations so far and has had an incredible lineup of software releases in it’s launch year , I somehow get the feeling that they wont be able to sustain it in the long run. PS4 has a number of AAA titles which are set to come out in 2018 and beyond with the likes of God Of War, Days Gone and Spider-Man coming out next year.

In contrast Nintendo arguably has no major titles apart from a new Pokémon game and a potential new Metroid Prime  releasing in 2018. Sure the Switch might have a decent year but the PS4 in my opinion will again sell a lot more units backed by its amazing line of software.

The Switch though will always be a success because of being both a home and handheld console . It’s a novelty which isn’t available anywhere else.Let us know your opinions by commenting in the comments section below.

 

  • The Watcher

    The PS4 will outsell the 3DS, Wii U and Switch combined.

    • heavenshitman1

      you mean in year 2018? Well WiiU won’t be selling then and 3DS is sure to flat line then.
      But even still, I think Switch will have a lot more up its sleeve in 2018.

      • The Watcher

        yup. more ports

        • heavenshitman1

          And exclusives n 1st party. Not just Pokemon n Metroid. I’d suggest maybe No More Heroes, Bayo 3, Retro Studios project, Kirby, Yoshi, Smash Bros variation….
          And yes many ports too, which have been showing to generally sell better on Switch (especially when you factor the massive install base differences).
          Switch won’t be stalling in 2018. I forsee a very strong year.

          Nintendo could have wiped the floor clean at any point with a proper Pokemon game during all previous gens. Short of a colossal build failure, I’d say Pokemon on Switch will cause Switch to out match PS4.

          • The Watcher

            You are very funny. LOL!
            Yup more of the same kiddie games like Pokemon sell on Nintendo platforms.

          • heavenshitman1

            Bayonetta kiddie?
            No More Heroes kiddie?
            Metroid Prime kiddie? (one of the best games of all time even against PC IMO, and more sophisticated than most)
            Switch got a Doom port already, Wolfenstein coming, Street fighters and a plethora of rumoured mature ports ie Dark Souls.

            Cheap excuses isn’t gonna defame Switch and its games

          • The Watcher

            yes to all

          • heavenshitman1

            Blood gore profanities and violence isn’t kiddie.

            And adding portability as an option is a bonus on a port. Not an automatic inferior factor.

            Some games get identical ports like the indies, some get PS3/360 type graphics, which were heralded only a couple years ago.

            There’s a reason everything is selling better on Switch

          • The Watcher

            Blood gore profanity does not equal mature either. Man-children or kiddie-men fall on the same category of kiddie gaming.

          • キングライデン

            Bruh you stupid as hell. “Blood gore and profanity is kiddie”
            I get it, you’re sony/micro apologist, but at least have SOME logic to your arguments.

          • J.j. Barrington

            Remind me, with your brand new account, how many kids play games like Call of Duty?

          • The Watcher

            Have you ever heard of the term “man-children with Peter Pan Syndrome”?

          • The Watcher

            oh btw …inferior version ports

  • J.j. Barrington

    There is NO possibility of this happening.

    • キングライデン

      That’s exactly why as of today Nintendo switch is the fastest selling console in NA, surpassing ps4’s year one sales. Since PS4 sold its highest in NA, then there is definitely a possibility of it outselling ps4 in the long run.

      • J.j. Barrington

        Uh, no. Because the Switch would have to be selling at a rate in North America that would allow it to negate the way it’s being outsold everywhere else.

        That’s not happening.

  • Zatoichi

    Who cares? Only things that matter is that Nintendo makes a profit and customers that buy are happy with the purchase.